Predicted Paper 2 · Q1(b) · paragraph completion

Build the rebuttal

5 paragraphs · first half against the LoA · you write the second half + interim judgement

How this works. Each paragraph below begins with the case AGAINST the line of argument. Your job is to rebut it: bring the case for the line back, then write a one-sentence interim judgement that lands the paragraph on your side. Aim for two to three sentences of rebuttal plus a clear interim judgement that uses words like nevertheless, on balance or this lead to.

The line of argument across all paragraphs is:

I argue NO - the visible activity of scrutiny has grown but executive dominance has grown faster, so on balance Parliament is no more effective now than in the recent past.

Paragraph 1Wright reforms
First half (against the LoA - already written)
View 1 in the source argues that the post-Wright reforms of 2010 made select committees genuinely independent of the executive. Chairs are now elected by secret ballot of the whole House. Members are elected by the parliamentary party. The Treasury Committee under Conservative chair Mel Stride questioned Liz Truss in October 2022 and helped force the recall of Parliament. The Home Affairs Committee under Yvette Cooper exposed Windrush in 2018 and contributed to Amber Rudd's resignation. These look like real wins for parliamentary scrutiny over the executive.
Your task: rebut, then end with an interim judgement
Hint: Now write the second half. Argue the Wright wins are visible but not effective. Use the one-third select-committee recommendation acceptance rate and the limits on committee compulsion. Add the Truss collapse and where the pressure actually came from. Lead to an interim judgement that supports the line of argument.
Paragraph 2Urgent questions
First half (against the LoA - already written)
View 1 in the source highlights the explosion in urgent questions since 2010 - from around 250 in 2010-15 to over 600 in 2019-24. Speakers Bercow and Hoyle have used the procedure aggressively, forcing ministers to come to the Commons on breaking issues. This is presented as evidence of more intense day-to-day scrutiny than at any time since 1997.
Your task: rebut, then end with an interim judgement
Hint: Now write the second half. Concede the rise in urgent questions but argue activity is not effectiveness. Use what ministers can do at the despatch box and the Grid's role. Add the 99 per cent three-line-whip pass rate. Lead to an interim judgement that supports the line of argument.
Paragraph 3Welfare retreat 2025
First half (against the LoA - already written)
View 1 cites the spring 2025 welfare retreat as the strongest contemporary evidence: 50-plus Labour MPs rebelled, Cabinet ministers (Kendall, Phillipson) pushed back, and the deepest cuts were dropped. This is presented as Parliament forcing the executive to climb down on a major piece of legislation in a way that would not have happened in earlier eras.
Your task: rebut, then end with an interim judgement
Hint: Now write the second half. Concede the welfare retreat but argue it is a vulnerable moment, not a structural shift. Note what was needed to force the retreat. Add the rest of the 2024-25 legislative programme (Hereditary Peers Bill, rail nationalisation) as the comparator. Lead to an interim judgement that supports the line of argument.
Paragraph 4Executive resources
First half (against the LoA - already written)
View 2 makes the structural argument: the Cabinet Office has grown from around 1,500 staff in the 1970s to about 10,000 today. The SPAD network has multiplied. The Grid coordinates every government announcement. Ministers cannot speak without No 10 sign-off. The asymmetry between executive and parliamentary resources has widened, not narrowed.
Your task: rebut, then end with an interim judgement
Hint: Now write the second half. Argue the structural growth of the executive has outpaced any procedural improvements in scrutiny. Use the Cabinet Office expansion (1,500 staff in the 1970s to around 10,000 today) and the SPAD network. Add the Grid alongside. Lead to an interim judgement that supports the line of argument.
Paragraph 5Conclusion-grade
First half (against the LoA - already written)
View 2 ties the strands together: Truss fell because of markets and the 1922 Committee; Johnson fell because of Cabinet resignations; the welfare retreat needed Cabinet plus 50-plus rebels; the Grid centralises communications; the whips deliver 99% of votes; two-thirds of select committee recommendations are ignored. The visible activity of scrutiny has grown but its effective bite has not.
Your task: rebut, then end with an interim judgement
Hint: Now write the second half - this is your conclusion-grade paragraph. Synthesise View 1 evidence (Wright committees, urgent-question rise, 2025 welfare retreat) against View 2 evidence (Cabinet Office growth, the Grid, 99 per cent whip success, two-thirds of recommendations ignored). Tie back to the source explicitly. Lead to an L5 interim judgement that supports the line of argument.